<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>6</ref-type><contributors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Defence Policy of Republic of Bulgaria: Critical Analysis</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Security and Defence Management</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2020</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Procon</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">7</style></volume><isbn><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">978-619-7254-06-8</style></isbn><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;&lt;img alt=&quot;&quot; src=&quot;https://procon.bg/sites/default/files/front_cover_defence_capabilities.jpg&quot; style=&quot;width: 200px; height: 289px; margin: 5px; float: left;&quot; /&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/node/21292&quot;&gt;Резюме на български&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The book is part of the &lt;a href=&quot;/node/5386&quot;&gt;Security and Defence Management series&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;It is based on the author&amp;rsquo;s PhD thesis, looking at the transformation of Bulgaria&amp;rsquo;s defence policy in the period 1990-2010. Amended with reflections on key developments in the past decade, the author offers evaluation of the ability to foresee defence requirements and plan accordingly. The general conclusion is that it is not the uncertainty of the security environment that surprises us. In fact, the environment has been predictable to a is sufficient degree.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Based on the John Boyd OODA loop, we can conclude that the &amp;ldquo;noise in the system,&amp;rdquo; created at the stages &amp;ldquo;Observe&amp;rdquo; and &amp;ldquo;Orient,&amp;rdquo; is the main reason or justification not to proceed properly to &amp;ldquo;Decide&amp;rdquo; and &amp;ldquo;Act.&amp;rdquo; And this is not so much due to the unpredictable and dynamic environment, as to the inability or unwillingness to take adequate decisions.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The book contains theoretical, historical and prognostic parts.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The theoretical part presents the modern understanding of defence policy and the relations between the state and the armed forces. Its goal is not only to review the theoretical foundations of defence policy making, but to reach valid and relevant definitions that can be applied in modern Bulgaria &amp;ndash; a country that has made several simultaneous &amp;ldquo;transitions&amp;rdquo; since 1990.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The historical part begins with an analysis of the Bulgarian People&amp;#39;s Army at the beginning of the transition, as the author believes that many of the challenges we face today are due to the specifics of state-military relations in the period before 1990. Another important contribution is the reliable reconstruction of the events characterizing the development of Bulgaria&amp;#39;s defence policy between 1990 and 2010, often burdened with emotional assessments and deliberate distortions of reality.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The third part contains the prospects for development, formulated based on a comparative analysis with the armed forces of a number of European countries and reflecting different combinations of two main factors &amp;ndash; the resource framework and degree of change. One main conclusion is that the will to change is perhaps the decisive factor for the successful defence policy making. Unlike most countries in Central and Eastern Europe, there is no such will in Bulgaria, and again we come to the conclusion of more &amp;ldquo;lost years&amp;rdquo; for the country&amp;rsquo;s defence.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The book is currently available in Bulgarian only, in the following formats:&lt;/p&gt;&lt;ul&gt;&lt;li&gt;Hardcover, ISBN 978-619-7254-07-5&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt;Online (pdf), ISBN 978-619-7254-06-8&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>6</ref-type><contributors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Managing Defence Capabilities' Development</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Security and Defence Management</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2020</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Procon</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">8</style></volume><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;&lt;img alt=&quot;&quot; src=&quot;https://procon.bg/sites/default/files/front_cover_defence_capabilities.jpg&quot; style=&quot;width: 200px; height: 285px; margin: 5px; float: left;&quot; /&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/node/21330&quot;&gt;Резюме на български&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;This monograph pursues two main goals: to facilitate the understanding of the complex process of developing defence capabilities and to present the author&amp;rsquo;s vision for the development of the Bulgarian Armed Forces in the horizon of 2030-2035.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The monograph presents the main processes leading to the desired future state of the armed forces. The author describes the continuity of the process in a clear and understandable way and emphasizes that it can perform its function only within a comprehensive system, and not as separate, often routinely performed tasks. He underlines that defence policy making and capability development make sense only when they manage to achieve an effect at the lowest level &amp;ndash; the combat units&amp;rsquo; capabilities.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Since science is not national, but international, it naturally evolves within paradigms set by policy and defence research centres in the leading nations. We must, however, take into account the differences in the application of the basic principles due to differences in scale, geography and national power. Based on the stated general principles, the security environment and the existing objective limitations, the author presents his position on the development of the Bulgaria&amp;#39;s defence policy until 2032. The monograph concludes by outlining the necessary changes in the way of managing capability development in order to avoid future conclusions of yet more &amp;ldquo;lost years&amp;rdquo; in developing Bulgaria&amp;rsquo;s defence&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;This monograph is a sequel of author&amp;rsquo;s MA theses &amp;ldquo;Ambitions in the defence policy of the Republic of Bulgaria&amp;rdquo; (National Defence College &amp;ldquo;G.S. Rakovski,&amp;rdquo; 2008), &amp;ldquo;The Bulgarian Armed Forces as an instrument of national policy in the changing armed conflict&amp;rdquo;(Sofia University &amp;ldquo;St. Kliment Ohridski,&amp;rdquo; 2009), the PhD thesis &amp;ldquo;Shaping the Defence Policy of the Republic of Bulgaria (1990-2010)&amp;rdquo; (National Defence College &amp;ldquo;G.S. Rakovski,&amp;rdquo; 2014) and the book &amp;ldquo;&lt;a href=&quot;/node/21291&quot;&gt;Defence Policy of the Republic of Bulgaria: Critical Analysis&lt;/a&gt;&amp;rdquo; (2020). In this regard, the author expresses his gratitude to his supervisors and reviewers: Prof. Todor Tagarev, Assoc. Prof. Vasil Penev, Prof. Todor Tanev, Prof. Pavel Angelov, Prof. Lidia Velkova and Assoc. Prof. (Col., ret.) Ivan Valkov.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Published in the &lt;a href=&quot;/node/5386&quot;&gt;Security and Defence Management series&lt;/a&gt;, no. 8.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The book is currently available in Bulgarian only, in the following formats:&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Hardcover, ISBN 978-619-7254-04-4&lt;br /&gt;Online (pdf), ISBN 978-619-7254-05-1&lt;/p&gt;</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Deterrence and Defense at the Eastern Flank of NATO and the EU: Readiness and Interoperability in the Context of Forward Presence</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Connections: The Quarterly Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2019</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2019</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">18</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">25-42</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">This article reflects the discussions during a September 2018 conference in Sofia, sponsored by the NATO Public Diplomacy Division. Its focus is on the defense and deterrence posture of NATO and the European Union in Eastern Europe. Special attention is given to the development of the Bucharest Initiative (B9) and its influence on the Western Balkans and Black Sea Region. The authors propose a Program for Readiness and Interoperability, oriented to the C4ISR area. This is based on the defense posture and in the context of the developments in NATO and the European Union for improved readiness and interoperability with partners that, together with enhanced cooperation in education and training for the de¬fined B9+ region, will act as instruments to implement this cooperation and improve the deterrence and defense capability on the Eastern Flank of NATO and the EU, while at the same time strengthening resilience to hybrid threats.</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></issue><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">25</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Military-Industrial Complex: How to profit from the National Security</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2015</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">November 2015</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">33</style></number><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The meaning of “Military-industrial complex” in the former “Eastern bloc” European countries is different from that of the famous farewell speech of the US President D.D. Eisenhower . The VPK (Military-industrial complex) consists of the state owned military industry during the Soviet era. Few of these enterprises survived the end of the Cold war, especially those in the new NATO and EU member states. Almost all “successful stories” are about private or joint public private companies.
Bulgaria should change its understanding of Military-industrial complex from this of the Soviet era VPK to that of Eisenhower speech. The idea is not to „avoid” the democratic institutions, but to establish mutually benefit relations between the Government (MoD) and the private business from the perspective of a small country with still developing heavy industry.
</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Comparative Defence Data Analysis</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">IT4Sec Reports</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">November 2011</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">90</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Institute of Information and Communication Technologies</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">„Comparative Defence Data Analysis” outlines what is considered good practice in formulating defence policy, in particular in emphasising particular missions of the armed forces, in managing defence personnel, in understanding what a certain level of defence allocations would mean for the capacity of the armed forces to perform assigned missions, and in managing main categories of defence assets. Towards this purposes the study compares the practices of 18 mid- to small-size countries – all more or less transparent in their defence affairs, based entirely on publicly available data</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Defence transformation outlook in the resource framework of the 2010 White Paper</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">November 2011</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">6</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Centre for Security and Defence Management</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Rigorous comparison of ambitions stated in Bulgaria’s 2010 defence white paper and the respective resource framework, taking shape till then, puts in doubt the prospects for transformation of the country’s armed forces</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Maritime Defence Investment Policy of the Republic of Bulgaria</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information &amp; Security: An International Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">27</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">163-173</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Taking into consideration Bulgaria’s interests and intentions stipulated in the National Security Strategy, the Black Sea is seen as a main sphere of the country’s foreign, security and defence policies. So far, official documents do not seem to place a priority on modernising the Bulgarian Navy. The author, however, reasons that by 2020 Bulgaria should have small, but technologically advanced Navy, capable of defending the interests of Bulgaria and its Western allies in the Black Sea region. After examining available options and approximate costs, the paper suggests that the country embarks on a modernisation programme packaging the procurement of main platforms, thus getting negotiation leverage and seeking offsets through direct industrial investments. </style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Georgi Tsvetkov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Прогнози за трансформацията на отбраната  в рамките на ресурсите на Бялата книга от 2010 г.</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ноември 2011</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">6</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Център за мениджмънт на сигурността и отбраната</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">София</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Georgi Tsvetkov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Сравнителен анализ на данни за отбраната</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">IT4Sec Reports</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">ноември 2011</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">90</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Институт по информационни и комуникационни технологии</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">София</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Докладът разглежда добрите практики във формулирането на отбранителна политика, в частност при дефинирането на мисии на въоръжените сили, управлението на личния състав в отбраната, разбирането как разпределението на средствата за отбрана се отразява на изпълняваните мисии и управлението на основните категории отбранителни активи. За тази цел изследването, основано на информация от открити източници, сравнява практиките на 18 малки и средни по размер страни – всички отличаващи се със своята относително прозрачна политика и дейност в сферата на отбраната.</style></abstract></record></records></xml>