<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>6</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Valeri Ratchev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Venelin Georgiev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Petya Ivanova</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Methodology for Planning Wartime Defence Capabilities</style></title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Centre for Security and Defence Management, IICT-BAS</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><isbn><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">978-954-91700-4-7</style></isbn><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Gueorgui Stankov</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Interactive Simulations in Support of Decision Making on Defence Resource Allocation</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information &amp; Security: An International Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">budgeting</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence capa­bilities</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence institution building.</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence policy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">force structure</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Gaming</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">long-term defence planning</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Programming</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uncertainty</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">23</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">129-140</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%"> This article describes the approach and the experience of the Defence and Force Management Department at the “G.S. Rakovski” Defence and Staff Col­lege in conducting interactive simulations that support decision making on force structure, force development programs, and the respective allocation of resources. The primary purpose of the simulation is to educate students, mostly senior military and civilian MOD personnel, in the intricacies of defence planning in a changing environment, and to provide ‘hands on’ experience in defence programming and budgeting. In addition, it allows exploring the space of potential policy alternatives, force structuring and programming decisions, thus serving as a powerful decision support </style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenarios in a Rational Approach towards Planning under Uncertainty</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information &amp; Security: An International Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">contextual scenario</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">planning scenarios</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">scenario planning</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenarios</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">situational scenario.</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">23</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">73-78</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%"> The implementation of the scenario approach at all levels in the modern national security process is unavoidable. As long as it is not part of the Bulgarian military practice yet, there is a need the idea to be communicated, and sound expla­nations provided in terms of rationalizing the defense and force planning process.
</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Gueorgui Stankov</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Atanas Natchev</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A Framework Methodology to Support the Selection of a Multipurpose Fighter</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information &amp; Security: An International Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">AHP</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">contract management</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Decision Support</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defense acquisition management</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Defense procurement</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">DSS</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">risk management</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Transparency</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2007</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2007</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">21</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">82-91</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The procurement of multipurpose fighter planes is one of the major procurement, or modernization projects, announced by Bulgaria’s Ministry of Defense in 2002, but a procurement case has not been initiated so far. This article calls for a transparent decision-making process within a rational framework, based on both qualitative and quantitative analysis, that would allow to select “the best” multipurpose fighter for the Bulgarian Air Force. After outlining the main assumptions, the authors examine the issue of identifying and structuring the criteria for selection of a multipurpose fighter, describe the main steps of a rational, quantitatively-based, transparent decision-making process and analyze the major decision support requirements, as well as methods and tools that may be used in providing analytical support to both the selection process and the follow-on contract and project management.</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>5</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenario 13a. Air Policing in the interest of another (neighbouring or closely located) state</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Methodology and scenarios for defense planning</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2007</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ministry of Defence, Directorate &quot;Defence Policy&quot;, Military Publishing House</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>5</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenario 3a. Infringement of air sovereignty by an armed aircraft (or a small group)</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Methodology and scenarios for defense planning</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2007</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ministry of Defence, Directorate &quot;Defence Policy&quot;, Military Publishing House</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>5</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenario 3b. Infringement of air sovereignty by a light piloted or unmanned aircraft of a terrorist organization</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Methodology and scenarios for defense planning</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2007</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ministry of Defence, Directorate &quot;Defence Policy&quot;, Military Publishing House</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>5</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenario 3c. Renegade – an aircraft out of the control of the official crew</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Methodology and scenarios for defense planning</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2007</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ministry of Defence, Directorate &quot;Defence Policy&quot;, Military Publishing House</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>5</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenario 3d. Attack with two to three ballistic missiles by a rogue state or a terrorist organization</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Methodology and scenarios for defense planning</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2007</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ministry of Defence, Directorate &quot;Defence Policy&quot;, Military Publishing House</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>5</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenario 3d. Attack with two to three ballistic missiles by a terrorist organization</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Methodology and scenarios for defense planning</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2007</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ministry of Defence, Directorate &quot;Defence Policy&quot;, Military Publishing House</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>5</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenario 3d. Sea-based attack with two to three ballistic missiles by a rogue state or a terrorist organization</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Methodology and scenarios for defense planning</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2007</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ministry of Defence, Directorate &quot;Defence Policy&quot;, Military Publishing House</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record></records></xml>