<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Olena Davlikanova</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Larysa Kompantseva</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Political Analysis or Fortune-Telling by Crystal-Ball? Western Think Tanks' Challenges with Forecasting Putin's War</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Connections: The Quarterly Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">big data</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">conflict</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">content analysis</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">escalation</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">full-scale invasion</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">political analysis</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Russia</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ukraine</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">war</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2022</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2022</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">21</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">9-28</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">This article analyzes major western think tanks’ forecasts, experts’ opinions, and US and UK media content regarding the future of Ukraine-Russia relationships in the year preceding Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022. Though the Russian-Ukrainian war has been ongoing since the occupation of Crimea and quasi-republics (“Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics”) were established in 2014, not many political analysts foresaw the coming of the bloodiest and most devastating war since WWII. At the same time, Big Data content analysis of US and UK media demonstrated the presence of markers of an approaching full-scale invasion. Correct-based estimation of the likelihood of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, as well as Ukraine’s willingness and ability to protect its sovereignty, was crucial for shaping the appropriate response of the Collective West.</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">3</style></issue><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">9</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Larysa Kompantseva</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Research, Education, and Practice of StratCom in the Security Service of Ukraine  in Interagency Settings</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information &amp; Security: An International Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">countering hybrid threats</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Defence Sector</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">nationwide coordination</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">security sector</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">single voice communication</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">SSU</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">SSU Academy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">StratCom coordination</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">strategic communications</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2021</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">48</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">69-83</style></pages><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p style=&quot;margin-left:19.85pt;&quot;&gt;This article discusses how strategic communications (StratCom) were established in the security institutions of Ukraine&amp;rsquo;s scientific and practical schools. An example of good practice is the approach of the National Academy of the Security Service of Ukraine, which was among the first in the security and defence sector of the state to become a platform for the formation of the scientific and practical school on StratCom. This process was carried out based on the following principles: building a &amp;ldquo;single voice&amp;rdquo; communication with security and government institutions, scientists, civil society representatives, journalists, and volunteers; establishing a scientific and practical discourse on strategic communications based on the concepts of &amp;ldquo;national values,&amp;rdquo; &amp;ldquo;truth,&amp;rdquo; &amp;ldquo;trust&amp;rdquo;; implementation of the &amp;ldquo;say-do&amp;rdquo; approach; promoting professional legal support and linguistic expertise of the information environment; focusing on practical results of scientific and educational activities; training of personnel in the field of strategic communications capable of working effectively at the strategic, operational and tactical levels. This approach aims to ensure the systematic implementation of strategic communications both at the institutional and the state levels.&lt;/p&gt;</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></issue><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">69</style></section></record></records></xml>