<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uwe Nerlich</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Challenges in a 2035 Perspective: Roles for the EU as a Global Security Provider?</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information &amp; Security: An International Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">capabilities</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">cyber</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">energy security</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">EU decision-making</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">EU missions</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">foresight</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">maritime</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">progressive framing</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">space</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">strategy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">threats</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2013</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2013</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">29</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">77-87</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Within the 2035 timeframe Europe and EU will need throughout to re¬spond to impacts from changing global environments, i.e. above all to adapt inter¬nal structures and to widen collective mission profiles (“progressive framing”). The European Security Strategy (ESS), the Internal Security Strategy (ISS) and the Re¬port on the Implementation of the ESS identified emerging key threats. Both strat¬egy and capability developments—for cyber, energy security, maritime security, space, CBRN, etc.—will require consistent effort and new approaches. The roles Europe could assume as a global security provider will determine Europe’s future. Plausible future EU missions are examined in this paper in a global context and in view of risks and challenges on a global scale.</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></issue><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">77</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Valeri Ratchev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uwe Nerlich</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Context Scenarios and Alternative Future EU Roles as a Global Security Actor</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">It4Sec Reports</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">IT4Sec reports</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">June 2012</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">100</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Institute of Information and Communication Technologies</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Контекстни сценарии и алтернативни бъдещи роли на ЕС като глобален играч в сферата на сигурността</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">IT4Sec Reports</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012</style></year></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">100</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Институт по информационни и комуникационни технологии</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">София</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Valeri Ratchev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uwe Nerlich</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Towards the exploration of future EU roles as a global security actor</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">IT4Sec Reports</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">IT4Sec reports</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">January 2012</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">92</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Institute of Information and Communication Technologies</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">IT4Sec Reports 92 is an internal deliverable within the FOCUS project summarising the input by CSDM and CESS (Centre for European Security Strategies) to working package 6.1. It suggests a way to describe future EU roles as a global security actor. It then provides a comprehensive analysis of the principal trends in global security and identifies essential drivers of change, examining also specific challenges and strategic shocks that may steer global developments to one or another alternative future. Finally, it presents a framework for exploring EU global security roles, incorporating a concept of the global EU power and examination of the external-internal nexus in the EU Common Foreign and Security Policy.</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Към изследването на бъдещи роли на ЕС като глобален играч в сферата на сигурността</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">IT4Sec Reports</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">декември 2012 г.</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">92</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Институт по информационни и комуникационни технологии</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">София</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Докладът представя основни изследователски резултати на ЦМСО и Центърът за европейски стратегии за сигурност (CESS) по работен пакет 6.1 на проект FOCUS. Предложен е начин за описание на бъдещи роли на ЕС в сферата на глобалната сигурност. Представен е задълбочен анализ на основни тенденции в глобалната сигурност. Идентифицирани са основни драйвери на промяната, както и специфични предизвикателства и възможни стратегически шокове, които биха могли да насочат развитието към едно или друго алтернативно бъдеще. Представен е рамков подход за изследване на глобалната мощ на ЕС и връзката между външни и вътрешни развития в Общата външна политика и политика за сигурност на съюза.</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uwe Nerlich</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Frank Umbach</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">European Energy Infrastructure Protection: Addressing the Cyber-warfare Threat</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Journal of Energy Security</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">October 2009</style></date></pub-dates></dates><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uwe Nerlich</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Future US-German Cooperation</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1991</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">June 1991</style></date></pub-dates></dates><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uwe Nerlich</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Der sicherheitspolitische Analysebedarf des Bundesministeriums der Verteidigung in mittel-und längerfristiger Perspektive</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1990</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">November 1990</style></date></pub-dates></dates><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record></records></xml>