<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Venelin Georgiev</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Main Issues and Risks Related to the Provision of Resources for Bulgaria’s Defence Capabilities Development Programme 2032</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">armed forces</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence capabilities</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence resources</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">development program</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Risk</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2021</style></year></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">42</style></number><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;The security, sovereignty and territorial integrity of the state are paramount benefits for society, which should be guaranteed by adequate instruments. The defence capabilities are main part of these instruments and therefore their condition attracts the interest not only of experts, but of the whole society. The development of the desired defence capabilities depends on the provision of resources for the proposed programmes and plans. Proving the rationality of the latter requires posing the right questions and identifying the associated risks.&lt;/p&gt;</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>6</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Georgi Tsvetkov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Defence Policy of Republic of Bulgaria: Critical Analysis</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Security and Defence Management</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">armed forces</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Bulgaria</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence capabilities</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence policy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence transformation</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">post-communist transition</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2020</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Procon</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">7</style></volume><isbn><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">978-619-7254-06-8</style></isbn><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;&lt;img alt=&quot;&quot; src=&quot;https://procon.bg/sites/default/files/front_cover_defence_capabilities.jpg&quot; style=&quot;width: 200px; height: 289px; margin: 5px; float: left;&quot; /&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/node/21292&quot;&gt;Резюме на български&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The book is part of the &lt;a href=&quot;/node/5386&quot;&gt;Security and Defence Management series&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;It is based on the author&amp;rsquo;s PhD thesis, looking at the transformation of Bulgaria&amp;rsquo;s defence policy in the period 1990-2010. Amended with reflections on key developments in the past decade, the author offers evaluation of the ability to foresee defence requirements and plan accordingly. The general conclusion is that it is not the uncertainty of the security environment that surprises us. In fact, the environment has been predictable to a is sufficient degree.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Based on the John Boyd OODA loop, we can conclude that the &amp;ldquo;noise in the system,&amp;rdquo; created at the stages &amp;ldquo;Observe&amp;rdquo; and &amp;ldquo;Orient,&amp;rdquo; is the main reason or justification not to proceed properly to &amp;ldquo;Decide&amp;rdquo; and &amp;ldquo;Act.&amp;rdquo; And this is not so much due to the unpredictable and dynamic environment, as to the inability or unwillingness to take adequate decisions.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The book contains theoretical, historical and prognostic parts.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The theoretical part presents the modern understanding of defence policy and the relations between the state and the armed forces. Its goal is not only to review the theoretical foundations of defence policy making, but to reach valid and relevant definitions that can be applied in modern Bulgaria &amp;ndash; a country that has made several simultaneous &amp;ldquo;transitions&amp;rdquo; since 1990.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The historical part begins with an analysis of the Bulgarian People&amp;#39;s Army at the beginning of the transition, as the author believes that many of the challenges we face today are due to the specifics of state-military relations in the period before 1990. Another important contribution is the reliable reconstruction of the events characterizing the development of Bulgaria&amp;#39;s defence policy between 1990 and 2010, often burdened with emotional assessments and deliberate distortions of reality.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The third part contains the prospects for development, formulated based on a comparative analysis with the armed forces of a number of European countries and reflecting different combinations of two main factors &amp;ndash; the resource framework and degree of change. One main conclusion is that the will to change is perhaps the decisive factor for the successful defence policy making. Unlike most countries in Central and Eastern Europe, there is no such will in Bulgaria, and again we come to the conclusion of more &amp;ldquo;lost years&amp;rdquo; for the country&amp;rsquo;s defence.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The book is currently available in Bulgarian only, in the following formats:&lt;/p&gt;&lt;ul&gt;&lt;li&gt;Hardcover, ISBN 978-619-7254-07-5&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt;Online (pdf), ISBN 978-619-7254-06-8&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Valeri Ratchev</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Bulgaria’s 2014 Annual Defence Report: Plenty of Data, Low Political Impact</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">armed forces</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Bulgaria</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence budget</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence capabilities</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Minister of Defence</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ministry of Defence</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2015</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">April 2015</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">28</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Centre for Security and Defence Management</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The Annual Report on the Status of Defence and the Armed Forces is an important political act, which reveals to the public and its deputies in the Parliament the status, problems, and prospects of national defence and the Armed Forces. The 2014 Report reveals only a single problem that is obvious and clear to all - insufficient budget for rearmament. However, the report does not formulate the dilemmas the leadership of Defence faces and options for the future development of the armed forces. The lack of timely decisions will increasingly turn decision issues into dilemmas of the &quot;either-or&quot; type.</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Assya Davidova</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Anton Lazarov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Guidance on Developing Bulgaria’s Defence Policy (in Bulgarian)</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Common Security and Defence Policy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence capabilities</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence policy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">NATO</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">resource framework</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2013</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">December 2013</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">22</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Centre for Security and Defence Management</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The Minister and deputy ministers of defence in Bulgaria’s caretaker Government, 13 March – 28 May 2013 outline the key required short- and mid-term activities in the area of defence. This document was presented at the attention of the Cabinet and the succeeding team of minister Angel Naydenov, and was published on the MOD website on May 28, 2013.</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Assya Davidova</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Anton Lazarov</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Rossen Ivanov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Report for the activity of the Ministry of Defence in the period of Bulgaria’s Caretaker Government, 13 March – 28 May 2013 (in Bulgarian)</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">accountability</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Common Security and Defence Policy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence capabilities</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence policy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">integrity</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">NATO</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">operations</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Transparency</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2013</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">December 2013</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">23</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Centre for Security and Defence Management</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The minister, deputy ministers and Chief of Cabinet of the MOD in Bulgaria’s Caretaker Government, 13 March – 28 May 2013, account for the results and implementation of the main priorities and tasks, including the provision of stability of the defence sector and military operations, open dialogue with the organizations active on defence policy issues, and enhanced cooperation and interaction with our Allies and national security sector organizations. This document was presented publicly and published on the MOD website on May 28, 2013.
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