<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Petya Ivanova</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Analytical support to foresighting EU roles as a Global Security Actor</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information &amp; Security: An International Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Alternative futures</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">context scenario</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">participatory foresight</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">scenario design</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Security foresight</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uncertainty</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2013</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2013</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">29</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">21-33</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Making decisions on major investments, including investments in security research, requires good grasp of the future, which by definition is uncertain. This paper presents the analytical process, methods, and tools, including the DSTO Scenario Analysis Tool Suite, used in the elaboration and selection of a set of context scenarios and possible new roles for EU as a global actor based on the wider Petersberg tasks. Results of this exploratory process within the FP7 FOCUS project are intended to derive suggestions for the EU’s security research planning. The conclusion emphasises the critical importance of providing rigorous analytical support, in particular when security foresight involves subject matter experts that are not part of a dedicated research team.</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></issue><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">21</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Future Defence Policy Challenges (in Bulgarian)</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">scale</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">smart defence</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uncertainty</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2013</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">December 2013</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">21</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Centre for Security and Defence Management</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">In a lecture to the Atlantic Club of Bulgaria on April 4th, 2013, defence minister analyzes the context in which the Caretaker Government contributes to the formulation and the implementation of Bulgaria’s defence policy, outlines future challenges with major impact on its formulation and the plans of his ministerial team.
</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Venelin Georgiev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Valeri Ratchev</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A Taxonomy of Essential Services</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Radioelectronic and Computer Systems</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Comprehensive approach</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Critical Infrastructure</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Planning</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">risk management</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">security policy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">threats</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uncertainty</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Vulnerabilities</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">May 2012</style></date></pub-dates></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Radioelectronic and Computer Systems 6(58)</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sevastopol, Ukraine</style></pub-location><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">191-196</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Communities, countries and alliances cannot be efficient in preparing to meet diverse threats to their security within traditional organizational stovepipes. The boundaries between ‘internal’ and ‘external’ threats are getting fuzzier, and the vulnerabilities of governments, businesses and communities feed on each other, while the comprehensive approach is gaining traction in ever more security fields. The implementation of the comprehensive approach poses a number of methodological challenges. While it clearly requires coordination of various capabilities of a multitude of actors, it is less apparent which is the suitable organising concept. This paper takes as a starting point the concept of ‘essential services’ and suggests a taxonomy, that would allow to treat threats, vulnerabilities and risk in a common comprehensive framework. The taxonomy has been developed with a specific purpose in mind, and thus refers to European Essential Services (EES). We nevertheless reason that it can be replicated to support decision making at other levels, e.g. in national security policy making and planning. </style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">58</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Gueorgui Stankov</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Interactive Simulations in Support of Decision Making on Defence Resource Allocation</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information &amp; Security: An International Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">budgeting</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence capa­bilities</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence institution building.</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence policy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">force structure</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Gaming</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">long-term defence planning</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Programming</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uncertainty</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">23</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">129-140</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%"> This article describes the approach and the experience of the Defence and Force Management Department at the “G.S. Rakovski” Defence and Staff Col­lege in conducting interactive simulations that support decision making on force structure, force development programs, and the respective allocation of resources. The primary purpose of the simulation is to educate students, mostly senior military and civilian MOD personnel, in the intricacies of defence planning in a changing environment, and to provide ‘hands on’ experience in defence programming and budgeting. In addition, it allows exploring the space of potential policy alternatives, force structuring and programming decisions, thus serving as a powerful decision support </style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Xinde LI</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Xinhan HUANG</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Min WANG</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Robot Map Building From Sonar Sensors and DSmT</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information &amp; Security: An International Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">DSmT</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">grid map</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information Fusion</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Mobile robot</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Uncertainty</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2006</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2006</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">20</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">104-121</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Knowledge acquisition in map building presents characteristics of uncertainty and imprecision. Especially in the course of building grid map using sonar, this uncertainty is especially severe. Jean Dezert and Florentin Smarandache have recently proposed a new information fusion arithmetic (DSmT) whose greatest merit is to deal with uncertainty and conflict of information. In this paper, based on the arithmetic of DSmT, we can fuse information of different reliable degree for homogeneous or heterogeneous sensors. Then we established the belief model for sonar grid map, and constructed the generalized basic belief assignment function (gbbaf). Pioneer II mobile robot served as the experiment platform, and 3D Map was built based on DSmT online. At last, this paper established a firm foundation on studying dynamic unknown environment and multi-robots building map together and SLAM (simultaneous localization and mapping).</style></abstract></record></records></xml>