<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Valeri Ratchev</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Bulgaria’s 2014 Annual Defence Report: Plenty of Data, Low Political Impact</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">armed forces</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Bulgaria</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence budget</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence capabilities</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Minister of Defence</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ministry of Defence</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2015</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">April 2015</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">28</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Centre for Security and Defence Management</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The Annual Report on the Status of Defence and the Armed Forces is an important political act, which reveals to the public and its deputies in the Parliament the status, problems, and prospects of national defence and the Armed Forces. The 2014 Report reveals only a single problem that is obvious and clear to all - insufficient budget for rearmament. However, the report does not formulate the dilemmas the leadership of Defence faces and options for the future development of the armed forces. The lack of timely decisions will increasingly turn decision issues into dilemmas of the &quot;either-or&quot; type.</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">On Bulgaria’s Defence Policy 2015-2020</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence budget</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence policy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Force Development</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">modernization</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2015</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">October 2015</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">32</style></number><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Centre for Security and Defence Management</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sofia</style></pub-location><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">On September 30th, 2015 the Council of Ministers approved a “Programme for the development of the defence capabilities of the armed forces of Republic of Bulgaria till 2020.” This is the main document, defining Bulgaria’s defence policy. It will be discussed by the National Assembly, with the expectation to be adopted. This will however lead to a significant divergence from the obligations undertaken at the NATO Wales Summit, the “National Programme 2020” of the 2014 Caretaker Government, and the consensus reached at the Consultative Council on National Security (chaired by the President) in April 2015. Furthermore, this analysis shows that the Programme will not serve to determine and guide future decisions and actions in the defence sphere. The stagnation of the armed forces will continue, even against the recognition of increasing direct threats to the security of the country. Finally, the anticipated parliamentary approval of the Programme will make even fuzzier the responsibility for the status of the armed forces and their readiness to protect the sovereignty and the territorial integrity of Bulgaria.
The full text of  CSDM Views 32 is in Bulgarian.
</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lidia Velkova</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Bulgaria’s Defence Policy and Force Size from a Comparative Macro Perspective</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information &amp; Security: An International Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Capability costing</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence budget</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence policy model</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">purchasing power parity.</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">23</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">115-128</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The paper presents a novel, theoretically sound approach to the analysis of defence policy and force models and first results of its implementation. The ap­proach is based on comparison of defence policies and cost data under the hypothe­sis that a particular defence policy relates to a specific set of defence capabilities with the respective impact on cost. We identified six factors, or dimensions, of de­fence policy with major impact on the cost of the respective capabilities, and used publicly available data to construct a model of capability cost, expressed in defence budget per active duty military personnel in constant purchasing power parity dol­lars, as a function of the six factors. Then the model was used to define what might be the reasonable force size of the Bulgarian Armed Forces in 2015 under three plausible alternative defence policies. The final section of the paper outlines strengths and limitations of the approach, as well as outputs and potential outcomes from its implementation. 
</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></issue></record></records></xml>