<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>27</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Todor Tagarev</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Valeri Ratchev</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenario and ambitions for managing a trans-border political-military crisis: Implications for Bulgaria’s Defence Policy</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">CSDM Views</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">defence policy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">ethnic conflict</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">planning scenarios</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">transborder conflict</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2015</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">May 2015</style></date></pub-dates></dates><number><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">30</style></number><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">At the end of 2007 and early 2008, we conducted a study on the request of the Ministry of Defence of Republic of Bulgaria, aimed to support the review of the country&amp;rsquo;s defence policy and the long-term vision for its armed forces. The report was published in the Spring of 2008 without any substantive editorial intervention. In view of the current crisis in neighbouring Macedonia, we decided to inform our readers on the relevant portions of that work, as it was published more than seven years ago. Depending on the evolution of the security situation close to the Bulgarian borders, we stand ready to review prospective scenarios and recommend feasible courses of action.
The full text of the report is in Bulgarian.</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Lozan Bizov</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenarios in a Rational Approach towards Planning under Uncertainty</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Information &amp; Security: An International Journal</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">contextual scenario</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">planning scenarios</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">scenario planning</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Scenarios</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">situational scenario.</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">23</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">73-78</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%"> The implementation of the scenario approach at all levels in the modern national security process is unavoidable. As long as it is not part of the Bulgarian military practice yet, there is a need the idea to be communicated, and sound expla­nations provided in terms of rationalizing the defense and force planning process.
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