Methodology and scenarios for defense planning

This is the introduction to our book

Preface

Methodology for Designing Defence Planning Scenarios

Context Scenarios for Defence Planning

Matrix of National Interests – Military Aspects

A Concept of Zones of National Security Interests

Methodology for Defence and Force Planning

Selecting a set of force planning scenarios

Optomisation Approach to the Selection of Situation Scenarios

Geometric Approach to the Selection of Scenarios

Scenario 1a. Allied defence operation on the territory of Republic of Bulgaria or activities for resolving of a military-political crisis in a national format

Scenario 2. Collective defence on the territory of an ally/allies

Scenario 3a. Infringement of air sovereignty by an armed aircraft (or a small group)

Scenario 3b. Infringement of air sovereignty by a light piloted or unmanned aircraft of a terrorist organization

Scenario 3c. Renegade – an aircraft out of the control of the official crew

Scenario 3d. Attack with two to three ballistic missiles by a rogue state or a terrorist organization

Scenario 3d. Attack with two to three ballistic missiles by a terrorist organization

Scenario 3d. Sea-based attack with two to three ballistic missiles by a rogue state or a terrorist organization

Scenario 4. Protection of the Maritime Sovereignty of the Republic of Bulgaria

Scenario 5a. Contribution to a peace enforcement operation

Scenario 6. Contribution to a stabilization and reconstruction operation

Scenario 13a. Air Policing in the interest of another (neighbouring or closely located) state

Scenario 13b. Support to the efforts of a neighbouring country to guarantee it maritime sovereignty

Scenario 9a. Terrorist act with WMD – bioterrorism

Scenario 10a. Containing a crisis as a result of mass disorders

Scenario 10b. Guaranteeing law and order of large-scale international events with participation of VIPs

Scenario 10c. Preventing illegal traffic of arms, narcotics, banned chemical substances and their precursors, radiation sources and dual-use goods

Situation Scenarios with lead responsibility of the Ministry of Emergencies

Force Planning Curriculum

Capability Taxonomy

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Last updated: Friday, 29 May 2015